Decisions Under Uncertainty
Math · Intermediate · Lesson 2 of 7

The St. Petersburg Paradox

An infinitely valuable game?

An interactive lesson with 6 steps, about 5 minutes: you predict, drag and solve, with instant feedback on every answer. It runs in your browser and needs JavaScript.

What you’ll learn

  • The St. Petersburg game has infinite expected value, yet is worth little to anyone.
  • Any real limit on payouts makes its value modest (about £30 for a £1 billion bank).
  • Bernoulli resolved it with utility: money’s value grows more slowly than the amount.

Steps

  1. Doubling pot
  2. One term
  3. An endless sum
  4. A billionaire casino
  5. More than £64?
  6. Bernoulli’s resolution