Geometric Probability
Math · Intermediate · Lesson 1 of 7

Darts and π

The Monte Carlo method

An interactive lesson with 6 steps, about 5 minutes: you predict, drag and solve, with instant feedback on every answer. It runs in your browser and needs JavaScript.

What you’ll learn

  • For a uniformly random point, probability = area.
  • Darts in a quarter circle: π≈4×\pi \approx 4 \times fraction inside.
  • Monte Carlo error shrinks like 1/n1/\sqrt n.

Steps

  1. Probability as area
  2. Throw darts
  3. Your estimate
  4. The price of accuracy
  5. Any shape at all
  6. A biased throw