Modelling Epidemics
Math · Intermediate · Lesson 1 of 7

The Reproduction Number

Generations of infection

An interactive lesson with 6 steps, about 5 minutes: you predict, drag and solve, with instant feedback on every answer. It runs in your browser and needs JavaScript.

What you’ll learn

  • R0R_0: the average number infected by one case in a fully susceptible population.
  • New cases in generation nn: R0nR_0^n.
  • Small differences in R make enormous differences over generations.

Steps

  1. R
  2. Five generations
  3. Comparing diseases
  4. A thousand cases
  5. From generations to days
  6. Is R fixed?