Modelling Epidemics
Math · Intermediate · Lesson 2 of 7

Tipping Points

R = 1 and herd immunity

An interactive lesson with 6 steps, about 5 minutes: you predict, drag and solve, with instant feedback on every answer. It runs in your browser and needs JavaScript.

What you’ll learn

  • R>1R > 1: growth. R<1R < 1: decline.
  • Reff=R0×(susceptible fraction)R_{\text{eff}} = R_0 \times (\text{susceptible fraction}).
  • Herd immunity threshold: 1−1/R01 - 1/R_0.

Steps

  1. Above or below 1
  2. Herd immunity
  3. Measles
  4. Imperfect vaccines
  5. Protecting the vulnerable
  6. Not enough